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Red250
2415143.0
4112135.2
6325112.9
Blue256
1683141.7
1261131.0
6919136.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301313100200400500250256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#23
143.00.9
142.6143.5
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
red by 1.3
1683
#15
141.70.4
134.3134.8
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
Second
4112
#31
135.20.1
138.4138.3
Auto18.1
Teleop92.8
End22.2
blue by 1.0
6919
#25
136.10.5
136.2136.7
Auto22.6
Teleop103.6
End8.1
Third
6325
#29
112.90.8
112.6111.8
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End11.4
blue by 18.0
1261
#17
131.01.0
132.7131.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed