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Red262
6340142.8
4910218.8
3329112.3
Blue350
4188172.5
832177.9
4459128.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318331200250300350400450500262350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.81.8
226.3224.5
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
red by 40.9
832
#2
177.90.8
171.3172.2
Auto19.2
Teleop133.4
End25.3
Second
6340
#32
142.80.3
141.3141.0
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
blue by 29.7
4188
#11
172.50.2
168.1167.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Third
3329
#35
112.31.1
114.5115.6
Auto15.1
Teleop90.0
End7.3
blue by 16.2
128.50.3
122.5122.1
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed