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Red205
3998161.7
6925108.9
4112135.2
Blue341
1771105.5
3573123.2
5332115.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352227100300400500600700205341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3998
#12
161.70.4
164.6165.0
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
red by 38.5
3573
#39
123.20.1
122.2122.0
Auto16.8
Teleop89.2
End16.2
Second
4112
#31
135.20.6
138.6138.0
Auto18.1
Teleop92.8
End22.2
red by 19.3
5332
#19
115.90.6
113.6112.9
Auto17.4
Teleop89.7
End9.8
Third
6925
#42
108.90.5
109.0109.5
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
red by 3.3
1771
#26
105.51.5
96.097.5
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed