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Red387
4026154.8
1746157.2
1683141.7
Blue195
1261131.0
4188172.5
3815116.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296292200250350400387195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#28
157.20.8
154.7153.9
Auto14.8
Teleop129.7
End13.3
blue by 15.3
4188
#11
172.50.6
167.8168.4
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Second
154.81.2
156.0154.8
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
red by 23.9
1261
#17
131.00.1
130.9130.9
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
Third
1683
#15
141.70.3
135.1135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
red by 24.8
3815
#43
116.90.1
117.7117.6
Auto14.4
Teleop97.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed