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Red412
584893.0
6705190.7
6177144.2
Blue241
3573123.2
6340142.8
671598.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365251100200300400500600700412241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.70.5
190.2189.7
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
red by 47.9
6340
#32
142.80.2
141.5141.8
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
Second
144.21.6
140.2141.8
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
red by 21.0
3573
#39
123.20.7
122.0122.7
Auto16.8
Teleop89.2
End16.2
Third
5848
#45
93.00.7
94.994.2
Auto13.9
Teleop74.8
End4.1
blue by 5.3
6715
#44
98.30.0
97.997.8
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed