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Red203
5109126.0
4468149.0
6925108.9
Blue417
4910218.8
4459128.5
1002139.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223394100300500600203417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#30
149.01.0
146.3147.3
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
blue by 69.8
218.81.0
221.0220.0
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
Second
5109
#27
126.00.1
124.3124.3
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
blue by 13.6
1002
#22
139.60.4
136.7136.3
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Third
6925
#42
108.90.4
109.5109.1
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
blue by 19.6
128.50.9
122.4123.3
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed