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Qual 802018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red223
4468149.0
5900110.7
3998161.7
Blue429
6705190.7
4188172.5
671598.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279356100200400500600223429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3998
#12
161.71.0
164.5→163.5
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
blue by 29.0
6705
#5
190.70.0
189.7→189.7
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
Second
4468
#30
149.00.7
147.3→148.0
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
blue by 23.5
4188
#11
172.50.4
168.6→168.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Third
5900
#33
110.70.5
110.2→110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
red by 12.4
6715
#44
98.30.0
97.8→97.8
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed