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Red252
7315104.3
1311155.7
6919136.1
Blue342
6340142.8
1746157.2
1771105.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288305200250350400450252342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#14
155.72.0
149.6151.6
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
blue by 1.5
1746
#28
157.20.9
154.3155.1
Auto14.8
Teleop129.7
End13.3
Second
6919
#25
136.11.0
138.2137.2
Auto22.6
Teleop103.6
End8.1
blue by 6.7
6340
#32
142.80.2
141.8142.0
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
Third
7315
#36
104.30.6
103.4104.0
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End11.4
blue by 1.2
1771
#26
105.51.8
99.6101.4
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed