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Red99
671598.3
6177144.2
5482114.5
Blue504
2974170.5
1002139.6
1683141.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220388010030050060099504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.20.9
143.3144.2
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
blue by 26.3
2974
#18
170.50.1
170.1170.2
Auto27.8
Teleop129.6
End13.2
Second
5482
#41
114.50.5
115.0114.5
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End8.5
blue by 27.3
1683
#15
141.71.7
138.7140.4
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
Third
6715
#44
98.30.5
97.898.3
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
blue by 41.2
1002
#22
139.60.7
136.8137.5
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed