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Red401
584893.0
4189159.8
4188172.5
Blue258
4941163.6
3998161.7
2415143.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310335100200400500401258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#11
172.50.9
168.9169.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
red by 8.9
4941
#24
163.60.5
163.3163.8
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
Second
159.80.4
157.7158.1
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
blue by 1.9
3998
#12
161.71.0
163.5162.5
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Third
5848
#45
93.00.9
93.993.0
Auto13.9
Teleop74.8
End4.1
blue by 50.0
2415
#23
143.00.7
144.6143.9
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed