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Red412
1648183.8
1102200.6
2415143.0
Blue170
6829163.2
6712112.2
2974170.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262580100200300500600700800412170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.60.6
197.4197.9
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
red by 30.1
2974
#18
170.50.2
170.2170.4
Auto27.8
Teleop129.6
End13.2
Second
1648
#10
183.80.0
183.6183.6
Auto19.9
Teleop143.9
End19.7
red by 20.5
6829
#21
163.20.6
164.6163.9
Auto23.0
Teleop125.5
End13.2
Third
2415
#23
143.00.2
143.9143.7
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
red by 30.8
6712
#13
112.20.4
111.6111.9
Auto17.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9