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Red422
1648183.8
1102200.6
2415143.0
Blue171
4910218.8
1414178.2
4468149.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350370100200300500600700800422171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.60.5
198.5199.0
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
blue by 18.2
218.80.2
219.3219.2
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
Second
1648
#10
183.80.0
183.6183.5
Auto19.9
Teleop143.9
End19.7
red by 5.5
178.20.1
178.3178.4
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
Third
2415
#23
143.00.2
143.5143.3
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
blue by 6.0
4468
#30
149.00.1
148.9149.1
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1