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Red248
4459120.9
4240116.7
5848104.7
Blue213
2415143.9
6325107.3
3265107.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25126804006008001,0001,2001,400248213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#18
120.90.0
120.8120.8
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
blue by 23.0
143.90.1
144.0143.9
Auto21.2
Teleop113.3
End7.8
Second
116.70.5
115.2115.7
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
red by 9.2
3265
#15
107.40.1
107.3107.4
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
Third
5848
#19
104.70.1
104.2104.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1
blue by 2.6
107.30.2
107.1107.3
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4