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Red153
5482127.7
3815121.2
3573119.0
Blue307
4941160.6
3635126.1
334490.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266291100150200350400450500153307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
127.70.0
127.8127.7
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
blue by 32.9
160.60.4
159.6159.9
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
Second
3815
#11
121.20.1
121.2121.2
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
blue by 4.9
126.10.5
124.5125.1
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
Third
3573
#14
119.00.1
119.0119.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
red by 28.2
3344
#20
90.80.3
90.090.2
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6