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Red428
6325107.3
5582118.6
4910223.4
Blue105
5848104.7
419586.6
4730110.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3661520100200300400500600428105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.41.2
197.9199.0
Auto28.1
Teleop162.2
End34.8
red by 113.4
4730
#22
110.00.6
105.2104.6
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
Second
5582
#13
118.60.4
111.5111.2
Auto18.2
Teleop89.6
End12.8
red by 13.9
5848
#19
104.70.6
107.2106.6
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1
Third
107.31.6
103.9102.3
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
red by 20.7
4195
#33
86.60.2
90.490.7
Auto11.4
Teleop67.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed