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Red145
6750110.7
4240116.7
5840107.8
Blue244
4941160.6
582877.7
671596.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342540100200300400500600700145244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.71.6
100.5102.1
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
blue by 44.0
160.60.1
150.3150.2
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
Second
6750
#27
110.73.2
97.3100.5
Auto14.5
Teleop86.0
End8.1
red by 14.7
6715
#17
96.00.4
99.098.6
Auto14.0
Teleop72.5
End8.7
Third
5840
#23
107.80.1
107.8107.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.9
End11.1
red by 30.1
5828
#32
77.70.6
81.180.6
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed