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Red262
3635126.1
3573119.0
2974163.9
Blue151
6925106.5
4188149.7
671687.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310233100200400500600262151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.90.1
158.6158.7
Auto28.8
Teleop121.6
End13.1
red by 14.1
149.71.4
135.9137.3
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
Second
126.10.1
111.6111.8
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
red by 19.6
6925
#29
106.51.1
112.7111.6
Auto15.9
Teleop79.6
End10.4
Third
3573
#14
119.07.5
101.8109.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
red by 31.7
6716
#21
87.30.8
95.294.4
Auto11.1
Teleop71.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed