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Red287
3635126.1
5840107.8
590098.5
Blue102
419586.6
4240116.7
3573119.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249251150200300287102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.10.1
111.8111.9
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
red by 7.1
3573
#14
119.04.9
109.3114.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
Second
5840
#23
107.80.3
107.7108.0
Auto13.4
Teleop82.9
End11.1
blue by 8.9
116.71.7
102.1103.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Third
5900
#16
98.50.4
97.096.6
Auto14.2
Teleop81.4
End3.9
red by 11.9
4195
#33
86.60.2
90.790.8
Auto11.4
Teleop67.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed