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Red289
1414159.5
3815121.2
5848104.7
Blue179
309194.1
613987.5
2974163.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335204100300400500600289179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.53.4
140.7144.1
Auto23.6
Teleop117.5
End19.9
blue by 4.4
163.90.1
158.7158.8
Auto28.8
Teleop121.6
End13.1
Second
3815
#11
121.20.9
118.0118.9
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
red by 27.1
3091
#30
94.10.3
96.095.7
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End4.7
Third
5848
#19
104.70.6
106.6106.1
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1
red by 17.2
6139
#31
87.50.2
84.885.1
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed