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Red121
582877.7
309194.1
3573119.0
Blue244
4730110.0
3815121.2
2415143.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1533270100200300400121244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3573
#14
119.02.2
114.3116.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
blue by 24.8
143.91.4
148.5147.2
Auto21.2
Teleop113.3
End7.8
Second
3091
#30
94.10.5
95.795.3
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End4.7
blue by 27.1
3815
#11
121.20.9
118.9119.8
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
Third
5828
#32
77.70.6
80.880.2
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
blue by 32.3
4730
#22
110.00.3
104.1103.8
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed