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Red241
4941160.6
4516103.3
4188149.7
Blue384
4910223.4
6925106.5
1414159.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251382200300500600241384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.61.3
150.9152.2
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
blue by 62.7
223.41.8
201.2203.0
Auto28.1
Teleop162.2
End34.8
Second
149.70.9
137.9138.8
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
blue by 9.7
159.52.9
144.1147.0
Auto23.6
Teleop117.5
End19.9
Third
4516
#10
103.30.3
94.795.0
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
blue by 3.2
6925
#29
106.50.9
110.1109.2
Auto15.9
Teleop79.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed