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Red195
419586.6
4459120.9
3635126.1
Blue258
334490.8
2974163.9
4516103.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285247100150200350400450500195258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.12.5
117.9120.4
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
blue by 37.8
163.90.1
161.1160.9
Auto28.8
Teleop121.6
End13.1
Second
4459
#18
120.90.7
120.5121.2
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
red by 17.6
4516
#10
103.31.5
97.198.6
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
Third
4195
#33
86.60.8
89.488.6
Auto11.4
Teleop67.3
End5.6
blue by 4.1
3344
#20
90.81.0
90.989.8
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed