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Red185
4730110.0
613987.5
5482127.7
Blue261
4188149.7
6340141.3
2415143.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1583990100200300500600700185261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
127.70.7
129.2128.5
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
blue by 22.0
149.72.6
144.0146.6
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
Second
4730
#22
110.01.2
106.2107.4
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
blue by 33.9
143.90.4
145.7146.1
Auto21.2
Teleop113.3
End7.8
Third
6139
#31
87.50.6
85.986.4
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
blue by 53.8
6340
#24
141.30.2
143.1142.9
Auto16.8
Teleop110.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed