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Red313
1414159.5
6325107.3
334490.8
Blue95
4240116.7
582877.7
5219109.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30921410040050060031395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.51.4
155.5156.9
Auto23.6
Teleop117.5
End19.9
red by 42.8
116.72.2
110.7112.9
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Second
107.30.9
104.5105.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
blue by 2.6
5219
#28
109.90.0
110.2110.2
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End9.7
Third
3344
#20
90.80.3
89.889.5
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6
red by 13.1
5828
#32
77.70.0
77.977.9
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned4%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed