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Red267
5848104.7
3573119.0
4941160.6
Blue331
4516103.3
6340141.3
5482127.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192720100200400500600267331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.61.1
156.8157.9
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
red by 19.3
6340
#24
141.31.1
142.9141.8
Auto16.8
Teleop110.0
End12.9
Second
3573
#14
119.00.3
118.2118.6
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
blue by 8.7
5482
#12
127.70.5
128.5128.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
Third
5848
#19
104.70.8
105.4104.6
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1
red by 1.4
4516
#10
103.31.8
98.6100.3
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed