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Red161
6925106.5
3635126.1
5482127.7
Blue186
590098.5
5582118.6
4941160.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28329405001,0001,5002,0002,500161186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
127.70.0
128.0128.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
blue by 32.9
160.61.0
157.9158.8
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
Second
126.11.7
120.4122.1
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
red by 7.5
5582
#13
118.60.7
117.7118.4
Auto18.2
Teleop89.6
End12.8
Third
6925
#29
106.50.6
108.1107.5
Auto15.9
Teleop79.6
End10.4
red by 8.0
5900
#16
98.50.5
97.097.5
Auto14.2
Teleop81.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed