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Red318
5219109.9
3815121.2
4188149.7
Blue142
3573119.0
3265107.4
4730110.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3351870100300400500600318142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.71.1
147.7148.8
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
red by 30.7
3573
#14
119.00.3
118.6118.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
Second
3815
#11
121.20.3
121.3121.0
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
red by 11.2
4730
#22
110.01.0
108.4109.5
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
Third
5219
#28
109.90.3
110.2109.9
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End9.7
red by 2.4
3265
#15
107.40.6
106.5107.1
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed