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Red261
3635126.1
582877.7
334490.8
Blue124
6325107.3
671485.7
613987.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231210100150250300350400261124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.11.1
122.1123.2
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
red by 18.8
107.31.0
105.5106.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
Second
3344
#20
90.80.0
89.589.6
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6
red by 3.3
6139
#31
87.50.6
86.987.5
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
Third
5828
#32
77.70.2
77.977.7
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
blue by 8.0
6714
#26
85.70.2
85.985.7
Auto12.5
Teleop66.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed