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Red488
2974163.9
4910223.4
6925106.5
Blue164
4459120.9
4240116.7
5848104.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4321560100200300500600700800488164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.40.8
220.9221.7
Auto28.1
Teleop162.2
End34.8
red by 102.5
4459
#18
120.90.0
120.9120.9
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
Second
163.90.3
162.8163.1
Auto28.8
Teleop121.6
End13.1
red by 47.2
116.70.4
116.3116.7
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Third
6925
#29
106.50.0
106.5106.4
Auto15.9
Teleop79.6
End10.4
red by 1.8
5848
#19
104.70.1
104.5104.7
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1