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Red228
4459120.9
4240116.7
5848104.7
Blue279
2415143.9
6325107.3
3265107.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382720100200400500600700800228279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#18
120.90.1
121.0120.9
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
blue by 23.0
143.90.1
144.2144.0
Auto21.2
Teleop113.3
End7.8
Second
116.70.5
114.3114.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
red by 9.2
3265
#15
107.40.1
107.1107.2
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
Third
5848
#19
104.70.1
104.1104.2
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End7.1
blue by 2.6
107.30.3
106.5106.8
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4