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Red123
5482127.7
3815121.2
3573119.0
Blue375
4941160.6
3635126.1
334490.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277281150200250300350123375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
127.70.0
127.7127.8
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
blue by 32.9
160.60.3
159.3159.6
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
Second
3815
#11
121.20.1
121.0121.2
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
blue by 4.9
126.10.5
124.1124.5
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
Third
3573
#14
119.00.1
118.9119.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
red by 28.2
3344
#20
90.80.2
89.890.0
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6