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Red176
4459121.4
4080107.0
684297.1
Blue244
5219120.1
6712106.7
2974156.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261252200300350176244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#11
121.46.4
101.7108.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
blue by 34.7
156.14.5
123.4127.9
Auto24.7
Teleop114.0
End18.1
Second
4080
#35DQ
107.03.2
108.4111.6
Auto12.1
Teleop87.9
End5.1
blue by 13.1
5219
#15
120.18.1
95.0103.1
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End6.5
Third
6842
#31
97.13.7
87.190.9
Auto14.0
Teleop70.4
End13.6
blue by 9.6
6712
#21
106.75.8
81.987.7
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed