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Red25
613978.3
334498.1
419591.3
Blue211
3694100.0
671694.6
3998147.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242365010015020025030035025211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#23
98.18.0
88.096.0
Auto13.6
Teleop76.6
End7.8
blue by 49.1
147.27.0
107.3114.3
Auto20.0
Teleop112.1
End16.6
Second
4195
#37DQ
91.36.8
86.293.0
Auto11.0
Teleop73.6
End6.6
blue by 8.7
3694
#33
100.03.9
94.998.8
Auto13.5
Teleop81.3
End2.9
Third
6139
#28
78.33.4
78.481.8
Auto11.0
Teleop65.2
End7.4
blue by 16.3
6716
#34DQ
94.63.2
76.679.8
Auto11.3
Teleop75.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed