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Red50
309195.1
5293111.3
3581122.4
Blue223
419591.3
1002133.0
690593.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311237010020040050060070050223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.416.3
71.988.2
Auto15.1
Teleop87.4
End21.8
blue by 10.6
133.01.4
125.0123.6
Auto16.1
Teleop104.7
End14.7
Second
5293
#22DQ
111.314.6
86.9101.5
Auto15.4
Teleop85.8
End5.3
red by 18.2
6905
#29DQ
93.112.6
90.377.7
Auto10.6
Teleop78.0
End0.9
Third
3091
#30DQ
95.115.9
75.591.4
Auto13.9
Teleop78.1
End2.6
red by 3.7
4195
#37DQ
91.318.0
57.175.1
Auto11.0
Teleop73.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed