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Red58
706095.6
6341130.9
1771100.1
Blue201
5332120.1
334498.1
3815112.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223288010040050060070080058201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.918.5
52.370.8
Auto14.8
Teleop100.6
End17.3
red by 10.9
5332
#12
120.114.9
84.299.1
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End4.1
Second
1771
#36DQ
100.115.6
78.293.8
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
blue by 11.9
3815
#10
112.016.9
66.483.3
Auto11.6
Teleop95.2
End6.6
Third
7060
#18
95.60.4
90.290.5
Auto14.7
Teleop78.6
End3.0
blue by 2.5
3344
#23
98.117.7
59.677.3
Auto13.6
Teleop76.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed