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Red121
6712106.7
560898.7
4509116.4
Blue359
4910190.3
6023136.5
5219120.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163090100400500600121359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#19
116.417.4
62.479.7
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
blue by 73.8
190.315.0
83.298.3
Auto24.3
Teleop138.1
End29.7
Second
6712
#21
106.718.4
53.271.6
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
blue by 29.9
6023
#17
136.515.1
82.397.4
Auto18.9
Teleop106.2
End9.2
Third
5608
#13
98.70.3
101.8102.1
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
blue by 21.4
5219
#15
120.117.1
64.881.8
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed