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Red209
1002133.0
5219120.1
4080107.0
Blue345
1771100.1
6705201.3
690593.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582870100200400500600209345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.01.0
122.4123.4
Auto16.1
Teleop104.7
End14.7
blue by 68.3
201.33.5
183.7187.2
Auto20.4
Teleop163.0
End18.0
Second
5219
#15
120.11.0
121.5122.5
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End6.5
red by 20.0
1771
#36DQ
100.11.6
102.8101.1
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
Third
4080
#35
107.01.5
115.9114.4
Auto12.1
Teleop87.9
End5.1
red by 13.8
6905
#29
93.12.7
100.497.7
Auto10.6
Teleop78.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed