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Red45
4459121.4
4749114.4
3694100.0
Blue294
4910190.3
560898.7
309195.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268242010020030040050045294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#11
121.43.7
122.2125.9
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
blue by 68.9
190.35.0
163.0168.0
Auto24.3
Teleop138.1
End29.7
Second
4749
#20
114.40.3
116.4116.2
Auto14.1
Teleop89.5
End11.3
red by 15.8
5608
#13
98.70.6
97.296.7
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
Third
3694
#33
100.00.2
109.3109.1
Auto13.5
Teleop81.3
End2.9
red by 5.0
3091
#30
95.10.6
94.393.8
Auto13.9
Teleop78.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed