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Red20
6887104.4
309195.1
419591.3
Blue420
1746150.0
1771100.1
4910190.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130388020030050060070020420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.40.5
103.7104.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.3
End8.1
blue by 85.9
190.33.7
173.6177.4
Auto24.3
Teleop138.1
End29.7
Second
3091
#30
95.11.5
93.795.2
Auto13.9
Teleop78.1
End2.6
blue by 55.0
150.01.7
137.3139.0
Auto15.5
Teleop122.6
End13.2
Third
4195
#37DQ
91.30.3
94.394.6
Auto11.0
Teleop73.6
End6.6
blue by 8.8
1771
#36
100.11.0
101.1100.2
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed