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Red174
5332120.1
694496.8
6712106.7
Blue338
6341130.9
419397.4
3998147.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225308100200400500174338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#12
120.11.5
118.3119.8
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End4.1
blue by 27.1
147.23.1
136.8139.9
Auto20.0
Teleop112.1
End16.6
Second
6712
#21
106.71.4
103.0104.4
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
blue by 24.3
130.91.8
124.5126.4
Auto14.8
Teleop100.6
End17.3
Third
6944
#24
96.80.5
96.496.9
Auto12.1
Teleop76.3
End6.5
blue by 0.6
4193
#16
97.40.7
92.893.5
Auto13.0
Teleop77.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed