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Red152
3329107.1
560898.7
671598.3
Blue61
5293111.3
1771100.1
4509116.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239277010020040050060015261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#14
107.17.6
98.6106.2
Auto14.5
Teleop85.5
End7.9
blue by 9.4
4509
#19
116.49.6
79.789.3
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
Second
5608
#13
98.70.5
102.1101.6
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
blue by 12.6
5293
#22DQ
111.36.0
101.5107.6
Auto15.4
Teleop85.8
End5.3
Third
6715
#27
98.318.6
51.470.0
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End12.4
blue by 1.8
1771
#36DQ
100.18.8
93.8102.6
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed