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Red177
6712106.7
6023136.5
1746150.0
Blue324
6705201.3
334498.1
1002133.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463120100200400500177324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.00.3
130.2130.5
Auto15.5
Teleop122.6
End13.2
blue by 51.2
201.31.3
171.9173.2
Auto20.4
Teleop163.0
End18.0
Second
6023
#17
136.511.9
97.4109.3
Auto18.9
Teleop106.2
End9.2
red by 3.5
133.01.4
123.6122.2
Auto16.1
Teleop104.7
End14.7
Third
6712
#21
106.710.3
71.681.9
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
red by 8.6
3344
#23
98.110.7
77.388.0
Auto13.6
Teleop76.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed