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Red378
1648169.6
1102169.8
5109116.7
Blue202
4188165.1
6829172.0
177191.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340273100200400500600378202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.6
168.5169.1
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
blue by 2.2
172.00.2
172.4172.2
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
Second
169.60.2
169.1169.3
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
red by 4.5
165.10.7
163.7164.5
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
Third
5109
#19
116.70.2
116.3116.5
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
red by 24.8
1771
#32
91.90.0
92.092.0
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1