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Red405
1311140.8
832166.7
7315103.4
Blue188
4080112.4
1795125.5
6712108.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367216100300400500600700405188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
166.70.5
165.3165.8
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
red by 41.3
125.50.1
125.4125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
Second
1311
#10
140.80.7
138.7139.4
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
red by 28.4
4080
#17
112.40.2
112.2112.4
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
Third
7315
#18
103.40.0
103.4103.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4
blue by 4.9
6712
#21
108.30.1
108.2108.3
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4