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Red372
1311140.8
832166.7
7315103.4
Blue328
4080112.4
1795125.5
6712108.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652090100300400500600700372328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
166.70.5
164.9165.3
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
red by 41.3
125.50.0
125.5125.4
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
Second
1311
#10
140.80.7
137.9138.7
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
red by 28.4
4080
#17
112.40.1
112.1112.2
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
Third
7315
#18
103.40.0
103.4103.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4
blue by 4.9
6712
#21
108.30.0
108.2108.2
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4