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Red355
4188165.1
6829172.0
177191.9
Blue268
4468138.9
4026154.7
5332113.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325266100200300400500600355268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.00.2
173.0172.8
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
red by 17.3
154.70.2
154.9154.7
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
Second
165.10.9
161.3162.2
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
red by 26.2
4468
#12
138.90.3
138.6138.9
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End17.3
Third
1771
#32
91.90.0
92.092.1
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 21.8
5332
#34
113.70.0
113.8113.7
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1