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Red341
4188165.1
6829172.0
177191.9
Blue161
4468138.9
4026154.7
5332113.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202740100200400500600700341161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.00.2
173.3173.0
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
red by 17.3
154.70.1
155.0154.9
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
Second
165.11.0
160.3161.3
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
red by 26.2
4468
#12
138.90.4
138.2138.6
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End17.3
Third
1771
#32
91.90.0
92.092.0
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 21.8
5332
#34
113.70.0
113.7113.8
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1