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Red77
4509128.3
1261131.6
3573126.0
Blue323
6705190.4
3998155.8
6177121.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28335910020040050077323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.60.2
131.4131.6
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
blue by 58.8
6705
#11
190.40.6
192.2191.6
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
4509
#25
128.30.4
127.9128.3
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
blue by 27.5
155.80.1
156.3156.2
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Third
3573
#16
126.00.3
125.6126.0
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
red by 4.7
6177
#23
121.30.3
120.7121.0
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4