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Red376
4188165.1
6829172.0
177191.9
Blue148
1311140.8
832166.7
7315103.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242840100200400500600700376148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.00.2
172.6172.4
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
red by 5.3
832
#3
166.70.4
166.3166.7
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
Second
165.10.7
163.0163.7
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
red by 24.3
1311
#10
140.80.6
140.2140.8
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
Third
1771
#32
91.90.1
92.192.0
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 11.5
7315
#18
103.40.0
103.5103.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4