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Red129
6910105.6
5651100.1
4112139.1
Blue356
1648169.6
470190.4
4080112.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25227702004006008001,000129356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#20
139.11.7
129.4131.1
Auto16.3
Teleop95.3
End31.0
blue by 30.5
169.62.4
151.7154.0
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
Second
6910
#35
105.60.5
115.7115.2
Auto13.9
Teleop87.4
End4.8
blue by 6.8
4080
#17
112.41.9
105.0103.1
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
Third
5651
#31
100.10.7
100.3101.0
Auto15.3
Teleop73.3
End13.0
red by 9.6
4701
#26
90.41.9
97.195.2
Auto13.3
Teleop71.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed